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The Money Log

British housing market in 20 year slump

Housing Market The British housing market could take 20 years to recover says one of the City of London’s leading investment banks.

In a note to clients, Mark Hake, an analyst at Merrill Lynch said ” … it looks significantly worse [than the 1990 downturn], with house prices falling faster and further and very little recovery in real terms expected over 20 years. … House prices are expected to be below their August 2007 peak in a further 10 years’ time.”

The investment bank forecasts house prices to fall 17 per cent this year, while inflation is set to continue its upward march in coming months as the economy absorbs the effects of higher oil and food prices.

If that were not bad enough, David Kern, economic advisor to the British Chambers of Commerce, thinks unemployment will rise to nearly two million by the end of 2009. He commented, “The results of this survey signal a menacing deterioration in UK prospects We are now facing serious risks of recession. London appears pretty weak and it’s across the board. Businesses are in a lose-lose situation. Falling demand and the squeeze on consumer disposable incomes will limit how far prices can be increased.”

With Nicola Horlick warning us off shares for three years, there aren’t many places left to put our funds.

As RBS’s credit analyst said last week, cash is the only safe haven now.

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