If you are a small business owner, or work for one, you may like to read a post on how to cope with the likelihood of a forthcoming recession — even worldwide depression.

“Clearly, we’re in for the roughest of rides over the next two years, and possibly longer. Although interest rates are tumbling and will continue to do so, even in the eurozone, the increasing lack of liquidity around the world as banks horde cash, Scrooge-like, will permit little flexibility.”

Of course, some people get rich in the harshest of climates by betting on market falls. Given that it’s the new markets in financial instruments and derivatives that started this off in the first place, it’s ironic that some savvy souls will probably make billions out of other people’s misery.

Read the post in Small Business Booster.

British people were told yesterday that the personal data of nearly half the nation has “gone missing”. In the newly merged department of Inland Revenue and Customs, a “junior official” downloaded the personal details, including bank account data and National Insurance numbers, of 25 million people and placed all of it on two unencrypted CDs.

The official then put the CDs in an envelope and posted it. The package wasn’t even registered so couldn’t be tracked or traced. It’s now officially “lost in the post”.

Alternatively, it may have been stolen to order by organized crime. We have been told, the official is now under guard in a “safe house” to protect him or her against the media, and presumably criminals seeking “to make him an offer he can’t refuse”.

This morning there’s huge panic all over the UK as people wake to find their bank accounts and personal identities compromised in the most dangerous way possible.

Once again we see the perils of allowing a central administration to accumulate vast quantities of information through a system of universal benefits more in tune with the Soviet era than the distributed nature of data in the age of the internet.

What can you do to protect yourself against the kind of scam everyone in the UK is now worried about?

1. Check your bank and credit card statements for the next 5 to 10 years. Criminals can lie low and strike when banks get sloppy again.

2. Change your online banking password, especially if you use family data as a memorable word.

3. Look at your credit report. The information in the Child Benefit Agency records is enough for a criminal to apply for loans, credit cards and even mortgages in your name, as well as other forms of credit such as mobile telephone and catalogue accounts. Your credit report lists all your credit commitments and recent applications for credit, so you can instantly see if someone has been trying to use your ID.

Apart from that, you are at the mercy of Government officials and your bank’s security measures. Ultimately, they must take responsibility for protecting their customer’s data.

Unfortunately, British Government agencies routinely break its own Data Protection Act. The shambles goes on.

Dividends are a welcome addition to investor’s returns on their shares. they represent the portion of profits that companies distribute to shareholders.

However, it’s not widely known that reinvesting them can greatly increase returns on share investment. Growth in dividends from Footsie 100 shares in the UK has outpaced inflation over the last 20 years, according to M&G. Indeed, they have grown by 31 percent over the past three years.

Ben Willis, Head of Research at Whitechurch Securities said, “Volatility in the market can benefit the long-term investor. If you reinvest dividends you get more units for your money, which puts you in a stronger position when markets rebound.”

Reinvesting rising dividends often bring handsome returns. Anyone who invested in, for example, the M&G Extra Income fund 20 years ago will have doubled their capital and would have received total net income payments of 176 percent of their original investment. Those who reinvested those same dividends would have seen their investment increase fivefold in the same period.

Many new entrepreneurs are uncertain about the rules for engaging with venture capitalists. How does a deal benefit a startup? What are the essential calculations involved?

Paul Graham has done an in-depth analysis of this perennial teaser for new business owners.

If a venture capitalist offers you a certain sum of money in exchange for a shareholding in your startup, what are the rules governing these deals and how much of your business should you part with?

The answer apparently is : 1/(1 - n)

Whenever you’re trading stock in your company for anything … the test for whether to do it is the same. You should give up n percent of your company if what you trade it for improves your average outcome enough that the (100 - n) percent you have left is worth more than the whole company was before. For example, if an investor wants to buy half your company, how much does that investment have to improve your average outcome for you to break even? Obviously it has to double: if you trade half your company for something that more than doubles the company’s average outcome, you’re net ahead. You have half as big a share of something worth more than twice as much. In the general case, if n is the fraction of the company you’re giving up, the deal is a good one if it makes the company worth more than 1/(1 - n).

If you are in this scenario, you will have to go through a lot of hoops to get funding. It’s not a decision to take lightly. You will also lose much of your control of your business idea. Equally, a VC company will receive many business plans a year, some as many as 6000. They will probably fund around 20 of them.